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Bitcoin Supply Inactive for a Year Slides to 18-Month Low of 65.8%
The decline likely represents profit-taking by investors who held coins for one year and over and marks a shift from the holding strategy seen through 2023.
Updated Apr 9, 2024, 5:59 p.m. Published Apr 9, 2024, 10:36 a.m.
- The percentage of bitcoin's circulating supply last active at least a year ago has declined from 70% to 65.8% in three months.
- The decline probably indicates profit-taking by some investors in a rising market.
The percentage of bitcoin's circulating supply that last moved on-chain at least a year ago has declined to the lowest since October 2022, according to data tracked by blockchain analytics firm Glassnode.
On Monday, 12.95 million BTC, equating to 65.84% of the circulating supply of 19.67 million BTC, remained unchanged for over a year, the lowest percentage since October 2022. The metric peaked above 70% with the debut of nearly a dozen spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S. in mid-January and has been falling ever since.
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Since late December, the percentage of the circulating supply that has not moved in at least two years has declined to 54.% from 57.4%.
The decline likely represents profit-taking by investors who held coins for one year and over and marks a shift from the holding strategy seen through 2023.
The urge to sell likely stems from bitcoin's massive 148% price surge since April last year and the 50% rally since the ETFs began trading in the U.S. At press time, bitcoin changed hands at $70,400. However, it's difficult to ascertain the exact percentage of bitcoin that left the inactive supply has been liquidated in the market.
According to the data tracking website MacroMicro, a decrease in the percentage of inactive BTC is a "leading indicator for the end of the bull run."
Past data, however, show that bull markets tend to peak as the percentage of inactive supply bottoms out and begin rising.
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Japan’s Higher Rates Puts Bitcoin in the Crosshairs of a Yen Carry Unwind
A stronger yen typically coincides with de-risking across macro portfolios, and that dynamic could tighten liquidity conditions that recently helped bitcoin rebound from November’s lows.
Ano ang dapat malaman:
- The Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% at its December meeting, the highest since 1995, affecting global markets including cryptocurrencies.
- A stronger yen could lead to de-risking in macro portfolios, impacting liquidity conditions that have supported bitcoin's recent recovery.
- Governor Kazuo Ueda indicated a high probability of a rate hike, with officials prepared for further tightening if their economic outlook supports it.
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