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U.S. Stocks Give Up Post-Trump Election Advance While Bitcoin Clings to Gain

Since President Trump won the U.S. election in November, the S&P 500 has dropped 2%, while bitcoin has gained 20%.

Updated Mar 7, 2025, 9:08 a.m. Published Mar 7, 2025, 8:46 a.m.
Asset Performance since U.S. Election (TradingView)
Asset performance since U.S. election (TradingView)

What to know:

  • Both the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 have erased all gains since Donald Trump's November election victory.
  • While giving up a substantial portion of its advance, bitcoin is still about 20% higher since Trump won the presidency.

The stock market tariff tantrum of the past few weeks has seen the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 give up all their gains since the early November election victory of Donald Trump even as bitcoin (BTC) remains in positive territory.

Both equity gauges are now more than 2% lower, while bitcoin is up over 20% in the same time frame.

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Market leader Nvidia (NVDA), whose chips are in demand for uses in AI, for instance, is lower by more than 20% since Trump's triumph. On the flip side, Meta Platforms (META) is the stand out stock in the so-called magnificent seven technology companies having gained about 10%.

While bitcoin buyer Strategy (MSTR) is down over 50% from its all-time high in November, it remains up 20% since the election.

Though bitcoin bulls are surely disappointed in the price performance of late — the world's largest cryptocurrency has slumped about 20% from $109,000 the day before Trump was inaugurated on Jan. 20 — the current price of $88,000 is still up roughly 20% from its level just prior to the November election.

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  • GoPlus Intelligence's Token Security API averaged 717 million monthly calls year-to-date in 2025 , with a peak of nearly 1 billion calls in February 2025. Total blockchain-level requests, including transaction simulations, averaged an additional 350 million per month.
  • Since its January 2025 launch , the $GPS token has registered over $5B in total spot volume and $10B in derivatives volume in 2025. Monthly spot volume peaked in March 2025 at over $1.1B , while derivatives volume peaked the same month at over $4B.

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Bitcoin gets 'base case' price target of $143,000 at Citigroup

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The Wall Street bank said its bitcoin forecast relies on further crypto ETF inflows and a continued rally in traditional equity markets.

What to know:

  • Citigroup's base case for bitcoin (BTC) is a rise to $143,000 in 12 months.
  • Analysts highlight $70,000 as key support, with the potential for a sharp rise due to revived ETF demand and positive market forecasts.
  • The bear case sees bitcoin falling to $78,500 amid a global recession, while the bull case predicts a rise to $189,000 due to increased investor demand.